Youcapper Picks: WNBA 7/12/2019

Minnesota Lynx @ Atlanta Dream

Opening: Lynx -1.5, 151

Current: Lynx -2.5, 150

Youcapper Picks: Dream +2.5, Under 150

The Dream have picked up their defense in the last few games and the Lynx are playing their fifth road game in six games. I expect the Lynx to play a little sluggish in a slow paced game. Hoping the Dream will have enough offense to keep this close and possibly win outright.

2019 Supporting Trends:

Minnesota Lynx:

  • 1-4 ATS in away games where their opponent scored at least 65 points in their last game.

Atlanta Dream:

  • 3-0 on the under at home following a home game
  • 4-1 ATS against opponents with a winning record

Phoenix Mercury @ Connecticut Sun

Opening: Sun -5, 153.5

Current: Sun -5, 153.5

Youcapper Picks: Under 153.5

Coming off a 23 point win against the Mystics without EDD, the Mercury will look to slow down the pace against the tough Connecticut Sun. Though the Sun are very efficient offensively at home, the Mercury have one of the best defenses on the road. 

2019 Supporting Trends:

Phoenix Mercury:

  • 6-1 on the under following games that went over or were within 10 points under the expected total

Connecticut Sun:

  • 5-1 on the under following games that went over the expected total

New York Liberty @ Chicago Sky

Opening: Sky -4, 162.5

Current: Sky -3.5, 162

Youcapper Picks: Under 162

Though the Liberty score the third highest points per game in the league, it is due to the flow of the game more than their offensive efficiency. The Chicago Sky remain one of the toughest teams to play when they are at home. Their defensive rating at home is 92, compared to 105.6 on the road, a 13.6 differential! 

2019 Supporting Trends:

New York Liberty:

  • 6-1 on the under, with at least 5 days of rest, against opponents with a record less than or equal to .500

Chicago Sky:

  • 6-1-1 on the under in home games

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