Thursday, July 18
Toronto Argonauts @ Calgary Stampeders
Opening: Stampeders -10, 53.5
Current: Stampeders -12.5, 52.5
Youcapper Picks: Argonauts +12.5
The Calgary Stampeders are now 2-2 after losing last week to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. They head home this week to face the lowly Toronto Argonauts who are now 0-4 on the season. This looks like a huge mismatch on paper, but I think this game will be a lot closer than expected.
The Stampeders might be a little overvalued in this spot, they are already 0-2 ATS as home favorites this season. Also, their only two wins came from the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders, who have a combined 2-7 record this season.
McLeod Bethel-Thompson is coming off a career game (388 yards passing yards) and seemed to finally find a connection with WR Derel Walker (188 receiving yards and two touchdowns) last week. If they can continue this chemistry and limit the turnovers, they should be able to stay close enough to cover the spread.
Friday, July 19
Ottawa RedBlacks @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Opening: Blue Bombers -9.5, 55
Current: Blue Bombers -10, 52.5
Youcapper Picks: Redblacks +10
This is the second meeting between these two teams this season. The Redblacks were favored at home by 3.5 points, but ended up losing to the Blue Bombers, 14-29. This time they will be in Winnipeg and the Blue Bombers are currently favored by 10 points.
The Redblacks have one of the top defensive coordinators in the league with Noel Thorpe. I think he will make the necessary adjustments to limit the Blue Bombers offensive attack following the loss last week to the Alouettes.
I think the number is off due to recency. The Blue Bombers have pretty much dominated their competition so far and the Redblacks are on a two game losing streak. The Redblacks are 1-0 ATS this season on the road as underdogs and I think they will cover again as road underdogs with this inflated line.