Brennan Armstrong, Virginia – $6800 DraftKings, $9000 FanDuel
Armstrong is a dual-threat who has been described by some as a fullback playing the quarterback position. He’s already carried the ball over 30 times in only two games, and has accumulated 135 rushing yards in those attempts. He’s also shown his value through the air with 539 yards and 5 TDs. The volume will be there, as he’s averaging 44 pass attempts per game. Both teams play fast, too: plays per game are at 77.3 for NC State and 84.5 for Virginia.
Virginia showed their ability to run the ball behind an impressive OL, gaining 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground last week against a stout Clemson defensive front. If they were able to find success against Clemson, what will they be able to do against a NC State defense that has allowed 185 rush yards per game at a 4.4 YPR clip? Armstrong should also be able to get it done through the air, as NC State’s defense is a weak overall unit that had allowed 461 yards per game and 6.3 yards per play. He has a few extremely affordable stacking options at wide receiver, as will be mentioned later.
Tell me with a straight face that you don’t enjoy watching this guy scoot.
Devin Leary, NC State – $6200 DraftKings, $8400 FanDuel
Leary makes for a nice game stack with Armstrong. Alternatively, if you’re not a big fan of Armstrong, then you can attack this game by paying down for Leary. This NC State offense has surprised as of late, and Leary has shined when given the chance. He’s completed 66.7 percent of his passes for 501 yards, 5 TDs, and 0 INTs. Those numbers were good enough to land him the full time starting gig, and he responded by going for 32.6 DraftKings points last week against a Pitt defense that’s among the best in the country. If he was able to find that kind of success against a defense that is only allowing 232 yards of total offense per game, I’d imagine he can find success against a Virginia squad that has allowed 404 yards per game.
Sam Howell, UNC – $7000 DraftKings, $8600 FanDuel
There are a lot of good QB options this week, but they are also very expensive. If you’re going to pay down, then you’re going to need to be willing to take on some risk. Howell’s price has continued to drop after two poor performances to start the year, so he’s no sure thing in this spot. What he does have to offer is value. He was one of the top QBs in all of college football last year and will be looking to bounce back here in a top-25 matchup against a Virginia Tech defense that has been struggling with COVID-19 related setbacks to start the year. The Hokies were without five of their top secondary players a week ago, and were also missing defensive coordinator Justin Hamilton. I find it hard to believe that this team will be firing on all cylinders defensively with so much uncertainty and so much turnover in their defensive rotations. While they’ve gotten by okay to this point, they haven’t faced a test as tough as this UNC offense. The price is right on Howell as long as you are aware of the involved risk.
Breece Hall, Iowa State – $8600 DraftKings, $9700 FanDuel
While I’m not too inclined to pay up for the top shelf QB options, I find Breece Hall’s pricey billing well worth the price this week. Hall is a bonafide star for Iowa State – if you’re not a believer by now, go watch the game tape.
He’s managed to make something out of nothing on pretty much every single one of his runs this year, but he won’t need to reach too deep into his bag of tricks to find success against this woeful Texas Tech defense. I’d play damn near any RB against this Tech defense that is 5th worst in the country in total defense, allowing 493.3 yards per game and 6.5 yards per play. So am I going to play one of the best talents in the country against them – you bet your ass I am!
Tyler Allgeier, BYU – $6600 DraftKings
In case you’ve been living under a rock, BYU has been absolutely running train over their opponents to start the year and have announced themselves as the new bully on the block. They get a new kid to pick on in UTSA, who has allowed 449 yards per game and 6.1 yards per play. That spells trouble going against a BYU offense that is #1 in the country with 586.3 yards per game and 8.2 yards per play. A lot of players will score for BYU in this one, and Allgerier is a good bet to score multiple times as he appears to be the most talented back on the team and is averaging 8.1 YPC across his first 34 carries on the year.
Isaiah Spiller, Texas A&M – $4400 DraftKings, $6200 FanDuel
This price is absurd. I’d assume it’s an overreaction after he laid a dud against Alabama last week, but pretty much every back in the country is going to struggle against that vaunted defensive front. While your initial assumption might be to fear this Florida defense, I’d take a closer look at their performance thus far before assuming the worst. This Gator defense has been extremely forgiving to start the year – they lead the SEC in missed tackles and allowed 7.9 yards per play against Ole Miss. This game has a good chance of going over the total, and Spiller is the most talented offensive player on A&M’s roster – they should lean on him in this matchup if they want to pull off the upset.
Dyami Brown, UNC – $5600 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel
Yeah, I get it, I was burned by this UNC offense last week too. I mentioned teammate Dazz Newsome as my favorite play on last week’s slate and he proceeded to put up an absolute stinker of a performance. Don’t let that keep you from playing Brown this week – this is the lowest price that you will find him at all year in DFS. He went into this year as a bonafide top-15 CFF WR and has done nothing but solidify himself as the go-to-guy for this potent offense. While he hasn’t had a blow-up spot yet, he’s done enough to show that he’s one of the most talented WRs in college football and proved that he will be on an NFL roster someday.
Jake Smith, Texas – $5200 DraftKings, $7100 FanDuel
This Red River Rivalry game is one that you’re going to want exposure to in DFS. While I find most of the options to be too expensive, Smith offers good value in this spot. Both teams like to spread targets around to multiple receivers, but this Texas offense has shown a penchant for targeting the slot WR – just check Devin Duvernay’s stats from a year ago. Smith started the year hobbled but proved himself as a reliable target for QB Sam Ehlinger a week ago, going for a solid but respectable 6-49-1 line a week ago. He has a very safe floor and a fairly high ceiling in this expected shootout against an Oklahoma defense that is allowing 6.2 yards per play and has proven to be very beatable. These teams play with pace as well, as they’re both averaging around 75 plays per game.
Jalen Wydermeyer, Texas A&M – $4200 DraftKings, $6500 FanDuel
I mentioned Wydermeyer in this article last week as a dirt-cheap punt option, and he responded with a respectable 8-82 line for 16.2 DraftKings points against Alabama. This A&M is hurting badly for receivers on the outside, and the TE Wydermyer appears to be their best option as a pass catcher. He’s an NFL talent and has proven difficult to tackle, which will be a problem for this Florida defense that is currently struggling to tackle much lesser foes.
SEC leader in missed tackles gonna handle this?
A&M likes to feature multi-TE sets and they keep them heavily involved in the offense, and Wydermeyer should benefit from most of the other TEs on the roster being unavailable this year for one reason or another.
Anthony Schwartz, Auburn – $4100 DraftKings, $6400 FanDuel
The fastest man in college football for a near-minimum price – sure, why not? Auburn has a number of key skill position players injured or limited, included but not limited to RB Shaun Shivers, RB DJ Williams, and star WR Seth Williams. With extra targets likely being up for grabs against this beatable Arkansas defense, Schwartz will have a great opportunity to take one to the house. He saw eight receptions on 14 targets a week ago against an elite Georgia defense – if he sees that here, he’ll be an extreme value.
I mean, he only needs one of these:
Lavel Davis Jr., Virginia – $4000 DraftKings, $6100 FanDuel
I’m not sure what’s going on here with this price. A 6’7’ Freshman, Davis immediately established himself as a dangerous target for the Cavaliers by exploding for 4-101-2 against Duke in his first ever collegiate game. He was quiet against Clemson last week, but still managed 58 yards against a future NFL standout in CB Andrew Booth Jr. Armstrong has a number of laughably affordable stacking options (Kemp IV $6000, Jana $4800, Poljan $4000), but Davis offers the most TD upside for GPP consideration.
Charlie Kolar, Iowa State – $4000 DraftKings, $5500 FanDuel
Kolar is another way of attacking that Texas Tech defense that we were laughing at earlier. He’s erroneously priced at $4000 on DraftKings and $5500 on FanDuel, allowing you to fit all of your studs into your lineup this week. Kolar is one of the best tight ends in college football and appears to be the most trusted target for QB Brock Purdy, who is badly in need of a go-to-guy. Purdy has already shown a penchant for looking his TEs way, too, as Kolar has logged 15 targets over his first two games. Kolar’s slow start from a statistical standpoint can be explained by an offseason injury, and his involvement in this offense should only increase on a weekly basis.
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