Thursday Night Football Betting Guide

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - DECEMBER 22: Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks and Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals shake hands after the Arizona Cardinals defeated the Seattle Seahawks 27-13 during their game at CenturyLink Field on December 22, 2019 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images)

Danny DeAngelis
Head of Soccer/NHL Senior Betting Analyst

The BRKDWN crew is back this year with its weekly Prime Time Football breakdown from all angles. Whether it’s betting the game or playing fantasy sports, we have you covered for the primetime game.


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This week’s primetime game we have a special Thursday Night edition and will cover the Arizona Cardinals (6-3, 1st Place in the NFC West) taking on the Seattle Seahawks (6-3, 3rd Place in the NFC West) in CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington.

Thursday Night Football
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NFL Network & FOX

Inside The Numbers

All Odds are of November 17th @ 3 PM EST via Bookmaker, Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgement.

The Spread: Cardinals (+3, -101) @ Seahawks (-3, -119)

History (Past 10 Matchups):

These two teams met on Sunday Night Football a few weeks back when Arizona was a +3.5 underdog. While it was trending in the direction of the Seahawks covering easily, Kyler Murray led a massive comeback topping Seattle and not only covered the 3.5 point spread but won outright in overtime. Overall Arizona loves the role of being an underdog, covering seven of the past eight times they have been the underdog, losing and pushing once each. On the flip side, Seattle is not a fan of playing Arizona as a favorite. They covered once in 2019 (-5.5) along with the push mentioned before and covered twice as a underdog in 2016.

Money Line (ML): Cardinals (+148) @ Seahawks (-170)

History (Past 10 Matchups):

Over the last four years Arizona is looking to do something that only Seattle has done in this rivalry and that is to sweep the season series. Seattle did it only once back in 2018, while they have split every year dating back to 2016. Overall Arizona is 4-5-1 in the head-to-head matchups and currently on a two game win streak in this NFC West clash. As mentioned before they have thrived as underdogs winning four of the seven matchups outright.

Over 57.5 (-110) / Under 57.5 (-110)

History (Past 10 Matchups):

The under has shined brightest in this matchup going 6-4 in the past 10 matchups and 3-2 in the last five. Only three times in the past 10 has the O/U been within one score; every time outside of that the total has been crushed by 11 points at its minimum either way of the games total. In Seattle, the under is normally the right play to attack, but this year there is no 12th man advantage in Seattle and it has shown how much they really do need their fans.

Arizona Cardinals Trends:

Over is 5-0 in the past five week 11 games.

Under is 5-0 in the past five games they have played on turf.

Under is 4-0 in the past four games on the road.

5-0-1 ATS in the last six games as an underdog.

0-4-1 ATS in the last five games in week 11.

Seattle Seahawks Trends:

7-1-2 ATS in the last 10 TNF Games.

Over is 5-1 in the last six games in week 11.

Over is 5-1 in the last six games against a team with a winning record.

1-5 ATS in the last six games against the NFC West and 1-4 in the last five games overall

Head To Head Trends:

Cardinals are 5-0 in the past five games in Seattle

Underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups

Cardinals are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups

Road team is 9-2-1 ATS in the 12 matchups

Over is 4-1 in the last five games in Seattle

The Plays

Spread: Seattle -3, -119

Coming off a disappointing loss against the Rams last week, Seattle now looks up at both the Rams and the Arizona Cardinals. On the flip side, the Cardinals are coming off a huge win against the Bills on a last-second Hail Mary to DeAndre Hopkins. Seattle needs to win this game or they will soon be behind the 49ers as well. Arizona doesn’t need the win as much as they already won the first game, so a split would not be the worst. I expect Seattle to come out hungry and ready to go at home on a short week, while Arizona is still coming off a high from the thrilling victory in Glendale.

Moneyline: PASS

I still can’t bet against the most likely MVP in Russell Wilson. -170 is a nicer price than what our prime time matchup ML has shown but I still don’t like laying that much on a team. I like to win where the risk outweighs the reward. As always, look for a spot to live bet Seattle as close to plus money if the opportunity allows.

Over / Under: OVER 57.5 – 110

Defense isn’t really a strong suit for either team as the Seahawks are averaging 29.6 PPG, while Arizona is at 23.3 PPG. The Seahawks can’t stop a nosebleed let alone a team on defense … Allowing a whopping 448.4 YPG (353.4 Passing / 95.0 Rushing) Arizona is just about 100 YPG less allowing 370 YPG (249.8 Passing / 120.0 Rushing). I expect the over to hit and to hit easily in another shoot out like they played in a few weeks ago.

BONUS PLAY

Week 10 SNF Recap:

All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: Patriots +7 -102

Moneyline: Patriots +270

O/U: PASS

Bonus Play: NONE


2020 Prime Time Record:

All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: 5-5-0 (-0.47 Units)

Money Line: 3-1-0 (+4.63 Units)

Over / Under: 5-1-0 (3.51 Units)

Bonus Plays 0-2-0 (-2.00 Units)
Overall: 13-9-0 (+5.67 Units)

2019 Prime Time Record:

Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)

Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)

Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)

Bonus Plays 4-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)