theBRKDWN’s MLB Futures Guide

Brendan "Seven Costanza" Welshoff
Head of MLB/Podcast Host
Scott Hoyt
MLB Analyst
Jordan W
Founder/el Jefe

"First I figured out where the sharp action was, where the guys who had a plan were, the guys who grinded." - Bobby Axelrod (Billions)

In early March, three analysts from theBRKDWN did a 90 minute live show breaking down the 2021 MLB season. JW, Scott, and Seven shared their favorite MLB futures bets and broke down a few guest suggestions.

To watch the stream in its entirety, checkout the Youtube Link at the base of the article.

Every bet from the stream is listed below and all odds are from early March, so please check for updated odds.

JW’s Twitter

Scott’s Twitter

Seven’s Twitter


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Homerisms

Each analyst picked one bet for their favorite teams.

Brendan

Yankees +230 to win AL Pennant. 

Scott

Red Sox to Make Playoffs +275

Jordan

Bobby Dalbec AL ROY +2000

Wouldn’t Bet it with Your Ex’s Money

Each analyst picked a few immediate “cross off” bets/teams. Said differently, the boys wouldn’t bet this with their ex’s money.

Brendan

Indians Over 81.5 wins

Mets to win NL East

Jordan 

Yankees Win Total (either way)

Padres Win Total (either way)

Scott 

Cubs win total o78.5

Twins wins total o 88.5

Value Plays

Relative to the odds being offered, each analyst finds value in the following plays.

Brendan

Trea Turner SB leader +450

A’s to win AL West +140

Scott

Yankees to Miss Playoffs +600

Royal to make playoffs +1000

Jordan

Washington Nationals +2500 Win NL; NL East +625

Milwaukee Brewers +350 win NL Central

Oakland A’s +1000 win AL

The Whole Enchilada

Each pick two teams to win league or WS.

Brendan

Yankees

Nationals

Scott

Padres +390

White Sox +380

Jordan

Oakland +1000

Nationals +2500

Win Totals

Each analyst picks 2-3 team win total bets they like.

Brendan

Washington Nationals Over 84.5 -112

St. Louis Cardinals Over 86.5 -112

NY Mets UNDER 91.5

Scott

Chicago Cubs Under 78.5 -110

Atlanta Braves under 91.5 -110

LA Angels Under 83.5 -110

Jordan

KC Royals over 71.5 -115

Toronto Blue Jays under 87.5 -110

Chicago Cubs under 79 even

Player Props

Each analyst picked a few player props that they were looking to bet.

Brendan

George Springer AL MVP +3000

Ryan Mountcastle AL Rookie of the Year +1200

DJ LeMahieu over 177.5 hits -113

Scott 

Giancarlo Stanton HR Total Under 38.5 -110

Ryan Mountcastle AL Rookie of the Year +1200

Cristian Pache NL Rookie of the Year +1200

DJ LeMahieu AL MVP +3300

Jordan

Joey Gallo HR King +1400

Christian Yelich NL MVP +1200

Rapid Fire…

Each Division Winner, MVP, Cy Young Winner, favorite longshot bet, World Series matchup and winner.

Brendan

AL East – NYY

AL Central – White Sox

AL West – A’s

NL East – Nationals

NL Central – Cardinals

NL West – Dodgers

Scott 

AL East – BOS +2000

AL Central – CWS -130

AL West – Astros +130

NL East – Mets +140

NL Central – Cardinals +105

NL West – Padres +200

Jordan

AL East – BoSox +2200

AL Central – White Sox -120

AL West – Oakland +155

NL East – Nationals +675

NL Central – Cardinals +105

NL West – Dodgers -250

MVP

Brendan 

NL – Christian Yelich +1200

AL – George Springer +3000

Scott 

NL – Mookie Betts +750

AL – Jose Abreu +2500

Jordan

NL – Yelich +1200

AL – Jose Ramirez +1200

Cy Young

Brendan 

NL – Dinelson Lamet +2500

AL – Lucas Giolito +450

Scott 

NL – Yu Darvish +1200

AL – Lance Lynn +1700

Jordan

NL – Trevor Bauer +900

AL — Kenta Maeda +2000

Favorite Longshot

Brendan

Mariners make the playoffs +1000

Scott

Yu Darvish NL Cy Young +1200

Jordan

Nationals +2500 NL

World Series Matchup

Brendan

Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees

Scott

San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox – Padres

Jordan

Dodgers vs White Sox, Dodgers repeat


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