Sunday Night Football Betting Guide

Danny DeAngelis
Head of Soccer/NHL Senior Betting Analyst

The BRKDWN crew is back this year with its weekly Sunday Night Football breakdown from all angles. Whether it’s betting the game or playing fantasy sports, we have you covered for the Sunday Night Football primetime game.

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This week’s primetime game we will cover the Minnesota Vikings (1-3, third place in the NFC North) taking on the Seattle Seahawks (4-0, first place in the NFC West) in CenturyLink field in Seattle, Washington.

Sunday Night Football
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks

8:20 PM EST; TV: NBC

Inside The Numbers

All Odds are Of October 2nd 9:30 EST via Bookmaker, Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgement.

The Spread: Vikings (+7, -118) @ Seahawks (-7, -102)
History (Past 8 Matchups):

Seattle has been a favorite six of its past eight head-to-head matchups, with Minnesota winning five of them and four of those coming in Seattle. This is the biggest spread since 2013 when it was -13 for Seattle. The Vikings have been underdogs seven of the past eight, only covering twice and winning once outright.

Money Line (ML): Vikings (+260) @ Seahawks (-320)
History (Past 8Matchups):
The Seahawks have been red-hot this year and in past matchups with Minnesota, winning six straight against the Vikings. The Vikings haven’t won since 2009 at home, and then in 2003 in Seattle.

Over 57 (-105) / Under 57 (-115)

History (Past 8 Matchups):

This is the highest the total has been in the previous eight matchups by a large margin, with 48 being the next highest (and hitting the over) back in 2019. Overall, the over is 5-3, but only hitting once in the last three matchups.

Minnesota Vikings Trends:

1-6 ATS following a Win

1-5 ATS allowing 250 or more passing yards in a previous game.

9-2-1 ATS last 12 games in October.

1-4 ATS when scoring 30 or more points in a previous game.

10-3 ATS in week 5 matchups last 13 games

Seattle Seahawks Trends:

4-0 ATS last 4 games

6-1-1 ATS as a favorite last 8 games

4-1 as a home favorite last 5 games

Head To Head Trends:
Seattle is 4-0 ATS when home against Minnesota 

Favorites and home team is 6-1 last 7 matchups 

Vikings are 1-5 ATS in past 6 matchups overall

Over is 5-1 in Seattle in past 6 matchups.

The Plays

Spread: Seahawks (-7, -102)

Seattle has won each of its games by 5 or more this year, but was a yard away from losing (and also costing me my Patriots pick in Week 2). I just don’t think the Vikings are on the same level as the Seahawks offensively. If this stays at 7 or moves lower, I love the Seahawks. If it goes 7.5 or higher, I might stay away or lean toward Minnesota.

Moneyline – PASS

Yet again, I’m passing on another moneyline play this week. While I was wrong by calling out the 49ers saying they should win, they weren’t worth the juice so while I was right to pass, it was for the wrong reason. I’m backing my pass for the same reason this week as Seattle just isn’t worth the -320 price for a team that has the likely MVP in Russell Wilson.

Over / Under – UNDER 57 (-115)

The way I pick my O/U is will each team score half of what the total is, so basically each team needs to score 30 for the over to hit. While I see the Seahawks easily reaching that mark, I can’t envision a way that the Vikings can score that much, even against a team that is in the bottom half of the league in defense. 

Week 4 SNF Recap:

All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: Eagles +7 -108 WIN

Moneyline: PASS

O/U: Under 46 -110 WIN

Bonus Play: NONE 

2020 SNF Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: 2-2-0 (-0.12 Units)
Money Line: 1-1-0 (+0.44 Units)

Over / Under: 3-0-0 (2.77 Units)

Bonus Plays 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)

Overall: 6-4-0 (+2.09 Units)

2019 Prime Time Record(SNF & MNF):
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)

Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)Bonus Plays 4-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)