Sunday Night Football Betting Guide

SANTA CLARA, CA - DECEMBER 09: Nick Mullens #4 of the San Francisco 49ers attempts a pass against the Denver Broncos during their NFL game at Levi's Stadium on December 9, 2018 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Robert Reiners/Getty Images)

Danny DeAngelis
Head of Soccer/NHL Senior Betting Analyst

The BRKDWN crew is back this year with its weekly Sunday Night Football breakdown from all angles. Whether it’s betting the game or playing fantasy sports, we have you covered for the Sunday Night Football primetime game.

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This week’s primetime game we will cover the Philadelphia Eagles (0-2-1, Third place in the NFC East) taking on the San Francisco 49ers (2-1-0, Second Place(tired) in the NFC West) in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara California.

Sunday Night Football
Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers

8:20 PM EST; TV: NBC

Inside The Numbers

All Odds are Of October 2nd 9:30 EST via Bookmaker, Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgement.

The Spread: Eagles (+7, -108) @ 49ers (-7, -112)
History (Past 7 Matchups):

The Eagles have been the favorite five of the past seven matchups winning four of those five, with the latest coming in October of 2017, easily covering -13 (the biggest spread of the seven games). The 49ers last cover was in 2014 covering -3.5 barely winning by 5 (only time SF was a favorite)

Money Line (ML): Eagles (+267) @ 49ers (-303)
History (Past 7 Matchups):

Philly is 5-2 in the past seven matchups, winning three of those games in San Francisco by an average margin of 15.5 points, with the latest coming in 2010. The 49ers have last won in 2014 at home and in 2011 in Philadelphia. 

Over 46 (-110) / Under 46 (-110)

History (Past 7 Matchups):

The Over is 4-3 in the past seven head-to-head matchups. This week’s O/U is the second highest in the previous seven, with 49.5 being the only other totally higher. The under has hit both times with the O/U being around 46 (45 in 2017 & 49.5 in 2014), while the over has hit four times while it has been on the lower end of the 40’s, all but once when at 41.5.

Philadelphia Trends:

Over is 4-0 after allowing less than 90 rush yards previous game

0-4 ATS last 4 games, and 0-4 while accumulating 350 yards previous game
0-4 ATS on grass last 4 games and 0-4 ATS against a team with a winning record

San Francisco Trends:

5-1-1 while accumulating 350 total yards in previous game

Over is 5-0 last 5 games against a team with a losing record

0-3-1 ATS at home against a team with a losing record

5-1 ATS in last 6 games

Head-To-Head Trends:
Eagles are 4-1 ATS last 5 games in San Francisco, Eagles are 6-2 ATS in the last 8.

Over is 4-1 last 5 games in San Francisco, Over is 7-3 in the last 10 games

The favorite is 6-2 ATS in last 8 games

The Plays

Spread: Eagles (+7, -108)

This number is a tricky one and also worries me. Nothing has changed on either side of the ball drastically to move the line from +3 at opening to +7 now. I love Philly getting a touchdown here. Wentz can take control and has better weapons around him that he can keep the score close or even win outright. The line is something to definitely keep an eye on, a half point either way will be huge, if it was 6.5 i would lean on SF, but 7.5 or more, I would hammer Philly.

Moneyline – PASS

I know who passes on a money line bet, but I am. San Fran has looked better than expected with Mullens at QB. They don’t seem to be missing Bosa, as they held the Giants and Jets under 14 points the last two weeks. This would be an easy win for the Niners, but at the price, it’s not worth laying the juice. If Wentz and the Eagles come out flying, (pun intended) then maybe a live bet on the 49ers would make sense if the price is right, but I don’t see Philly winning this game by any means.

Over / Under – UNDER 46 (-110)

Both teams love to run the ball, and they can run it effectively. Expect a quick pace to the game, with each team running the ball constantly, allowing to continually run, making this a low -scoring game and possibly one of the lowest between them.

Week 3 SNF Recap:

All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: Packers +3 WIN

Moneyline: Packers +144 WIN


Bonus Play: NONE

2020 SNF Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: 1-2-0 (-1.05 Units)
Money Line: 1-1-0 (+0.44 Units)

Over / Under: 2-0-0 (1.86 Units)

Bonus Plays 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)
Overall: 4-4-0 (+.25 Units)

2019 Prime Time Record(SNF & MNF):
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted

Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)

Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)Bonus Plays 4-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)