Last week’s picks went 2-0-1 for +1.57u, on to this week!
Udinese vs. AC Milan
Line: Udinese (+295), Milan (+108), Draw (+240)
Total: Over 2.5 (+118), Under (-134)
AC Milan is steps ahead of Udinese in quality and it should show in this match. Marco Giampaolo, the debut manager for Milan, plays a style that will give Udinese fits. Udinese rely on their defense and counter attacks to produce their chances. Therefore, Milan will dominate possession in their half and score first. Once trailing, Udinese struggles to mount a comeback due to their style. They will begin to press higher up the field and with Milan’s 4-3-1-2 formation, the attacking midfielder will find the gaps between Udinese’s midfield and defense, leading to a second goal.
The Pick: AC Milan ML (+108).
Sampdoria vs. Lazio
Line: Sampdoria (+275), Lazio (+115), Draw (+237)
Total: Over 2.5 (-107), Under (-103)
Both squads play an offensive style so expect a back and forth game. Eusebio Di Francesco, Sampdoria’s new manager, deploys a 4-3-3 attacking formation. With no significant moves in the transfer window, look for this team to resembles last year’s side that finished 5th in goals scored. However, Lazio can take advantage of the space on the wings with their 3-5-2 formation. This will produce a solid counter attack that will produce many scoring chances. Both teams will find the back of the net and I expect 3 goals at minimum.
The Pick: Over 2.5 (-107).
Overall: 3-0-4 (W-D-L), -0.43 units
Premier League: 0-0-2, -2.10 units
England Championship: 3-0-2, +1.67 units
Serie A: 0-0-0
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