Over/Under Extravaganza: SURPRISE NFL Edition

By: Jesse Balasus @UncleJesse___

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Last week was a minor fall back to Earth. After posting back-to-back weeks of going 5-1, the extravaganza only managed to go 2-4. Yikes. Oh well, just means we’re bouncing back strong this week. I wanted to switch it up this week, so it’s all NFL picks. Here are my picks for this week. 

Last Week: 2-4

YTD: 33-26-1

Detroit vs Washington: OVER 40.5

In a game where tickets are going for four dollars, you wouldn’t expect much offense. The Lions are starting Jeff Driskel since Matt Stafford broke his back from carrying the team for so long and the Redskins have Dwayne Haskins making his second career start. But, I just have that gut feeling that these teams can score 41 points. Bo Scarborough looked pretty well as a lead back against Dallas last week. Meanwhile the Redskins just ended a 16 quarter touchdown drought. In their eyes, they’re now on fire. Take the over because if they can’t combine for 41, they need to be relegated. 

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati: UNDER 38

Cincinnati is the worst team in football by a mile. Pittsburgh has a great defense and an anemic offense that is now injury ridden. James Connor and Juju Smith-Scheuster are both out, leaving bobble head quarterback, Mason Rudolph, with weapons like James Washington and Jaylen Samuels. This has potential to be the ugliest game of the week. 

Dallas vs New England: Over 44.5

Dak Prescott somehow has become a good quarterback, but this is his toughest test so far. This Patriots defense is no joke (unless they’re playing Lamar Jackson). Meanwhile, Tom Brady and the Patriots offense have looked average at best; bu,t Brady usually steps up for the big matchups like this. Both teams are more than capable of scoring 22 on each other. This is one of the more anticipated games of the week, which gives me the feeling that there will be a good amount of points to go around. 

Denver vs Buffalo: OVER 37

Buffalo has been a really good team this season. Josh Allen is improving every week and John Brown has sneakily been one of the better receivers this season. The Broncos look revitalized once Brandon Allen took over for the *injured* Joe Flacco. The Broncos should honestly have at least 3 more wins on their record, as they had a lead very late into the fourth quarter, but couldn’t pull away. This is going to be a closer game than most think, but they will easily hit the over. 

Green Bay vs San Francisco: OVER 47.5

Aaron Rodgers is back to MVP form and finally has multiple weapons around him. The 49ers have an amazing defensive line and a run game that can take down anyone. But, as much as they love the run, the 49ers’ offense runs through Emmanuel Sanders and especially George Kittle. If either can play, I feel even more confident that the Over is hitting. Both teams are capable of putting up points at any time. Aaron Jones might have a quiet game for Green Bay, but Davante Adams should have a field day. 

Baltimore vs Los Angeles Rams: OVER 46.5

This is the revenge game of all revenge games. Eric Weddle faces the Ravens for the first time since getting cut. Marcus Peters returns to Los Angeles after being traded for a fifth round pick and a linebacker that hasn’t played a down since being traded. The Ravens are the highest scoring offense in the NFL; averaging over 34 points a game. The Rams’ offense has been up and down all season, but luckily they should have both Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks back for the matchup. On the downside for the Rams is that the Ravens defense, especially the secondary, is looking like the best in the league. On the bright side for the Rams, they still have the best defensive player in football with Aaron Donald. If anyone can stop Lamar, I’d put my money on him. But, I don’t think he will. The Ravens running game is statistically the best we’ve seen since 1977. Entering last week, Houston was the third best run defense in the league. After their game with the Ravens, they dropped to 13. We’re going to see a lot of fireworks Monday night. Hammer the over.