Thu. Nov 21st, 2019

Over/Under Extravaganza: NFL Week Ten, College Week Eleven

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Recap

Folks, we are coming off our best weekend yet. We went 5-1 last weekend and only missed out on a perfect 6-0 because Jim Harbaugh pulled his starters against Maryland. But, I’m not happy with that. I want, no, I crave that illustrious perfect 6-0 weekend. With that being said, let’s dive into this week’s picks. 

LW: 5-1

YTD: 26-21-1


CFB Totals

Penn State vs Minnesota: OVER 48

The kickoff of the two undefeated matchups this weekend, Penn State and Minnesota both look to keep their hopes alive to win the Big Ten East and West respectively. Both had a bye last week, and they should be prepared to go to war. Last we saw Minnesota, they made turtle soup out of the Maryland Terrapins, 52-10. Penn State also won handily that weekend, beating Michigan State 28-7. I believe Penn State wins and I believe it will be closer than most expect, but I’m expecting the over to hit. Remember, the last big game Penn State played in, they shut out Michigan in the first half and the total still hit the over. Minnesota hasn’t been as good as their record shows, but both teams should be able to move the ball on each other. 

Iowa vs Wisconsin: OVER 38

This line is hilarious. I understand why it’s so low, but I still can’t help myself from laughing at it. Iowa is that pesky team that plays everyone tough, but can’t score. Wisconsin’s best player is a running back which means that clock ain’t stopping. Both teams have stout defenses, but we only need 20 points from each team to break the over. Jonathan Taylor is more than capable of breaking off some big touchdown runs, which takes some stress off needing Iowa to score so many points. 

Alabama vs LSU: OVER 63

Hands down, the game of the college football regular season. #2 LSU traveling to Tuscaloosa to try and end Nick Saban’s season. Credit to fellow BRKDWN college football writer, Sam, (follow him on twitter @Samuel_Murphy20) for swaying me on the over. Both teams have good defenses, but not as good as they’re known for. Meanwhile their offenses have been playing lights out. This is going to look like a high scoring Big 12 game instead of a physical SEC matchup, as we have the two top quarterback prospects playing each other. 


NFL Totals

Kansas City vs Tennessee: OVER 49.5

I’m going to keep this as plain and simple as I can. Patrick Mahomes is back, which means the Chiefs will go for 40+ themselves against a meh Titans squad. Ryan Tannehill might squeak in 13 points or so, but Mahomes and company should come close to the over themselves. 

Baltimore vs Cincinnati: OVER 44.5

The Ravens are the number one scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 31 points per game. The Bengals are winless and are now throwing a rookie out for his first career start, while also having AJ Green suffering setbacks on his injury. I know many are calling this a trap game for the Ravens, but to me this feels like a tune up game. The Ravens have virtually everyone healthy, and the Bengals have more than likely embraced the tank for their choice of Tua or Burrow, but honestly should be Chase Young. Ravens put up 35+ on their own and have at least one defensive touchdown. 

Seattle vs San Francisco: UNDER 47

We got a matchup of strengths right here. MVP favorite, Russell Wilson vs that dominating 49ers defensive line. Although Wilson has played lights out, the Seahawks as a whole have struggled this season. Six of their seven wins have been by seven points or less. They don’t have that luxury against a team with a top defense and dangerous run game. This game will feel a lot like the Seahawks matchup vs the Ravens, which just hit the under.

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