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Another weekend has come along and so has this week’s edition of the Over/Under Extravaganza. Last week we went 3-3, which even though that’s as average as it gets, I’ll take that every week. For those just joining us on this magnificent gambling trip, I give everyone six total over/under bets, (three college and three NFL) and a little blurb on why I’m liking said bets. I hope you’re ready, because I am.
Last week: 3-3
Texas vs Oklahoma: OVER 76
I’ll keep this short and sweet. It’s the Red River Rivalry and both teams are from the Big 12, which means good offenses and terrible defenses. Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts has decided he’s just going to break a different record every week on his way to being a potential Heisman winner. Texas’ Sam Ehlinger hasn’t been too shabby either, as he’s kept the Texas offense explosive even though their running back situation is atrocious. This game will be the definition of a shootout. There will be quick touchdown drives back and forth so neither team can fall behind. Hammer that over like you’re Tim “The Toolman” Taylor and Al Borland is trying to say something logical. I fully expect this game to end up with a combined score of over 80.
Colorado vs Oregon: OVER 61
I have a little problem with the PAC-12. The conference is like that pesky little brother that wants to be included in everything you and your friends do and no matter how many times you tell him and mom, (the NCAA) that you don’t want him around, she forces you to include him. Then the first thing he does is embarrass you and hurts himself so he goes crying back to mom. (I know that’s oddly specific, but no I was nowhere close to being that kind of little brother (we all know I was.)) But back to football, Colorado somehow has a litany of weapons on offense, especially if Laviska Shenault can play. Oregon’s defense has played well, but they also haven’t played anybody aside from Auburn Week 1. Plus, Justin Herbert has been good, but hasn’t lived up to the preseason hype train. I’m taking the over here, but I’m also taking Colorado +21 and to win outright. The PAC-12 is crazy, so let’s root for them to continually shoot themselves in the foot.
Florida vs LSU: OVER 56
This O/U just feels way too low in a game that features LSU’s offense. (Never thought I’d say that phrase in my life.) But we get to see Joe Burrow lead this somehow top-three offense under the lights in Death Valley, versus a wildly overrated Florida team. Now, LSU will have to do majority of the scoring because Florida’s offense won’t be able to put anything together against LSU’s secondary. They’re called DBU for a reason. Take the over and sprinkle a little on LSU -13.5 because Kyle Trask will be a dead man walking.
Kansas City vs Houston: OVER 55
This is arguably the must see game of the week for the NFL. Patrick Mahomes vs Deshaun Watson, the Chiefs stable of wide receivers vs the best wideout in football, Deandre Hopkins. Plus, both teams’ defenses have been below average this season. Both of these offenses are more than capable of scoring at least 30 a piece in this game. In a game where both cities barbecue is about as good as their offenses, more is always better. Points, meat, sides you name it. Hit the over and then take yourself over to your nearest BBQ spot to get takeout for this game because you’ll need it.
Washington vs Miami: UNDER 41.5
Ah, we finally have our first “Tank Bowl” of the year. Washington doing Washington things by firing Jay Gruden and then immediately not starting rookie Dwayne Haskins like we all want. Miami on the other hand, has gone to Josh Rosen to start for the rest of the season, just to trade him this offseason so they can draft Tua. Both teams STINK. This is gonna end up either 16-9 or 45-41, but I like my chances for the lower end. Go under and watch every second of this game because it’s going to be so bad, it’ll be amazing TV.
San Francisco vs Los Angeles: UNDER 50.5
This line makes my stomach churn to be honest. Yes, San Francisco played amazingly Monday night on both sides of the ball. Yes, Rams’ quarterback Jared Goff plays way better at home than on the road, but they’ll likely be without Todd Gurley and maybe Brandin Cooks after that concussion. This also feels like a letdown game for the 49ers. Before Monday night, everyone, including myself, considered them frauds. Now they have all the hype around them. Can they live up to it? Possibly, but this is a come back to Earth game for them. Hit the under, but if the line somehow decreases by a couple points before kickoff, go over.
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