Featuring: Rex Eastwood (@REast_Eazy), and Jordan Whitney (@GordonVonDenim)
Jordan and Rex are here to bring you the Hungry Dogs of the weekend. If you’re looking for an underdog in college or the NFL, we got some options for you!
Rex’s Hungry Dog
Louisville vs. Miami Nov 9, 3:30 p.m.
Line: Louisville (+205), Miami (-255)
We are going back to the Louisville well as they cashed for us previously at the same number. Miami is in a hangover spot after two road wins. The win against FSU may have taken too much out of the Hurricanes. After the FSU game, The U is 1-5 ATS with four losses over the past six seasons. Coming off of a bye with a superior coach in Scott Satterfield, I like the Cardinals chances to pull off a road win.
Louisville’s offensive line will be the key in this matchup. Miami can create a ton of havoc led by Gregory Rousseau, who has 7 sacks in the last two games. Over the season, Louisville’s line has progressed each week, with the exception of Clemson, and peaked against UVA before their bye. The unit was able to generate more than 200 rushing yards in the UVA game and I expect them to deploy a similar game plan here.
Miami has lacked an explosive offense and could be without their top weapon Brevin Jordan. Without Jarren Williams’ top target, The U offense could have plenty of busted drives. They are averaging three and outs on 17 percent of their drives, which ranks 119th overall. The Cardinals defense is nothing to write home about but without the explosive threat, Miami is playing into Louisville’s hands.
The Pick: Louisville ML (+205).
Jordan’s Hungry Dog
Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns Nov 10, 1:00pm
Line: Bills (+130), Browns(-150)
And, its gone. Just like that — my profitability is gone, but when you ride with the underdogs you’re prepared to earn respect from winning fights no one expects. After a few consecutive losses we will get-right this week. My picks have found their most success when my power ratings project an underdog as a favorite. Well folks — we have three such cases this week. The first, won last night on Thursday Night Football. Another is a team in New Jersey who plays a team who shares their stadium. The third is the Buffalo Bills and that is who we ride with this week.
I have Buffalo as a 1.5pt road favorite going into this game in Cleveland. Cleveland has looked pitiful. The play calling and decision making by Freddie Kitchens has been suspect, to say the least. Their franchise QB has five more interceptions than touchdowns and their star wide receivers are more interested in accessorizing than getting separation from defensive backs.
Saying that Cleveland has underperformed is far from a hot take. Buffalo has seemed to surprise some people, however I was behind them all year — with the lone question mark being what to expect from Allen and their offense. Buffalo possesses one of the better defenses, while also holding onto the ball among the top 10 longest in the league — a surefire recipe for success in low scoring games. Cleveland has somehow scored less points this season than Buffalo (this even shocked me) and also has a below average defense.
Cleveland seems ready to come undone and this might be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. Buffalo is not very innovative, although Allen is not afraid to make plays with his feet. Rookie RB, Devin Singletary ran for just under 100 yards versus the Redskins and will play a rush defense unit that is actually worse than Washington. If Buffalo can keep the ball and put pressure on Baker Mayfield — this could be a gross, low scoring, slow and ugly game.
The Pick: Buffalo (+130)
Rex: 5-5-0, +4.80u
Jordan: 4-5-0, +0.00u
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