Mon. Oct 14th, 2019

Breaking Down the Bases: Sat, 7/13

All plays are 1 unit unless otherwise stated.

All plays posted will be standard plays that can be placed anywhere: full game sides, totals, and F5 sides, totals.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs

Opening Line: Cubs -177, 9
Current Line: Cubs -185, 9.5

Youcapper’s Bet: Cubs RL +105, O9.5 -105

2019 Supporting Trends:

Pittsburgh Pirates:

  • 0-5 on RL in Jordan Lyle’s last 5 starts
  • 12-2 to the over when facing left handed starters and the total is 8 or more

Chicago Cubs:

  • 5-0 on RL in Jon Lester starts at home games against starters coming off a previous matchup non-quality start
  • 10-1 on RL in Jon Lester starts and the line is less than or equal to +100

Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles GM1

Opening Line:
Current Line: 

Youcapper’s Bet: Rays RL -150

2019 Supporting Trends:

Tampa Bay Rays:

  • 11-4 on RL in away games against left handed starters

Baltimore Orioles:

  • 3-14 on RL in home games against left handed starters
  • 6-23 on RL in home games when the total is greater than or equal to 9.5

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

Opening Line: Phillies -120, 8.5
Current Line: Phillies -115, 8.5

Youcapper’s Bet: Nationals ML +108

2019 Supporting Trends:

Washington Nationals

  • 10-2 in away games where the line is no greater than +140, against teams greater than .500 and the starter is coming off a previous matchup non quality start

Philadelphia Phillies:

  • 0-8 against left handed starters when the total is no more than 8.5 and the line is greater than or equal to -200.

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers

Current Line: Rangers F5 ML +110
Opening Line: Rangers F5 ML +120

TheRecDegen’s Bet: Rangers F5 ML +110

2019 Supporting Trends:

  • Rangers are 6-1-2 SU at home in the first 5 innings with Minor starting.
  • Astros are 4-5-1 SU on the road in the first 5 innings with Miley starting.

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies

Opening Line: Phillies F5 ML -114
Current Line: Phillies F5 ML -119

TheRecDegen’s Bet: Phillies F5 ML -119

2019 Supporting Trends:

  • Phillies are 6-0-5 SU at home in the first 5 innings with Nola starting.
  • Nationals are 2-6-1 SU on the road in the first 5 innings with Corbin starting.

BDTB Records:

@you_capper: 2-1, +1.0 units

@TheRecDegen: 3-2, +1.10 units

Mutual Plays: 0-0, 0 units

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