2021 Home Run Derby Predictions

Danny DeAngelis
Head of Soccer/NHL Senior Betting Analyst
Drake Mann
MLB Analyst

“Adapt or die”-Moneyball

Scott Hoyt
MLB Analyst

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The 2021 Home Run Derby will return this year in the hitter friendly ballpark of Coors Field in Colorado.  Will the “Polar Bear” Pete Alonso repeat?  Will Shohei Ohtani be the first “Pitcher” to win the event?  Will someone hit over 100 Home Runs for the first time for the whole event?  The MLB team with the BRKDWN has you covered for this year’s event!

Betting Odds:

#1 Ohtani (+350) vs #8 Soto (+500)

#4 Perez (+1000) vs #5 Alonso (+450)

#2 Gallo (+350) vs. #7 Story (+600)

#3 Olson (+750) vs #6 Mancini (+1000)


Twitter: @DrakeMann4

Winner: Trevor Story

Number of Homeruns: 64

Why Story?

My reasoning for picking Trevor Story is simple, he has home field advantage. We’ve seen it happen before in 2015 with Todd Frazier and 2018 with Bryce Harper. Plus, of all the players participating no one likes hitting in Coors Field as much as Story. 90 of his 145 home runs have been at Coors. He does have a big challenge in facing Joey Gallo in the first round but I think the home field advantage is a big part of Story winning the 2021 Home Run Derby. In the end, we’re all winners as this home run derby has the potential to be one of the best in baseball history. The combination of Ohtani, Gallo, Soto, Story, Perez, Olson, Mancini and Alonso all have the ability to make this Home Run Derby legendary.


Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31

Winner: Joey Gallo

Number of Homeruns: 100+

Why Gallo?

I would like to lead with this…. All Joey Gallo does is mash home runs. See the number of home runs above, that is not a typo. This event is in the most hitter friendly ballpark of all of MLB. So if it’s not Gallo, someone this year will break the record of 91 set by Vlad Guerrero Jr. back in 2019. I am all about the numbers and Gallo’s 23 Home Runs this season are second best in this bracket. More than 60% of the bracket doesn’t even have 20 Home Runs.

Gallo for the Win +350; if not Gallo then Alonso (+450) or Olson (+750)


Twitter: @ScottyyDoesKnow

Winner: Pete Alonso

Number of Homeruns: 72

Why Alonso?

Take a look back at what the man did in the last Home Run Derby in 2019, crushing 57 Home Runs on his way to his first title. It was an electric performance and now he is back to defend his title. Put simply, Pete is built for this. His big burly frame allows him to take a high volume of power swings over a longer period of time. Unlike his competitors, he has proven that he can dig deep and come up with the stamina needed to crank out the most home runs in the deep rounds. He is also clutch, edging out former rookie and fellow standout Vlad Jr. in the final round of his championship run in 2019. I also think that righties might have a slight advantage at Coors field considering the right field and right center field wall is elevated and could knock down some of the line drive home runs. I expect a ton of moonshots at distances we haven’t seen since the Sammy Sosa days in Milwaukee. The new shiny modern jumbotron in left field has also officially been put on notice. Add in the altitude of Colorado and I am confident that Alonso will steal the show again and capture his second title by hitting at least 72 Bombs. Polar Bear Pete +450

Consensus 1st Round Picks:

Alonso Over Perez

Olson Over Mancini

*All Betting Odds are Via PointsBet

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